Revealed: The 44 professions most at risk of being replaced by AI – is yours at risk?

The company OpenAI, the creator of the world's most popular chatbot, warns that AI could take your job.

In a new report, the creators of ChatGPT revealed the 44 professions most at risk of being replaced by artificial intelligence.

To reach these conclusions, the researchers used a test called GDPval, where AI was compared to real professionals from the nine most financially important sectors in the US.

The results are alarming, especially for those working in sales and retail.

How was the testing done?

Human experts evaluated tasks performed by AI and by a professional in the field, and decided which was better.

The most successful AI, Claude Opus 4.1 from Anthropic, beat human experts 47.6% of the time, and had even higher results in some professions.

For example, compared to employees in stores and rentals, AI beat professionals 81% of the time.

OpenAI emphasizes:

“Today's most advanced models are now approaching the quality of work of industry experts.”

Each occupation was rated based on the specific tasks that someone in that role could perform. For example:

Registered nurses were asked to assess images of skin lesions and create consultation reports.

Production engineers were forced to create a 3D model of a cable loop.

The human evaluators did not know which task was performed by a human and which by AI; they simply chose which was the best.

The most vulnerable sectors

Retail: AI beats professionals on average 56% of the time.

Wholesale: 53% win by AI.

Government sector, including compliance officers and social workers: 52%.

The safest sector: information, which includes executives, film producers and journalists, where the most advanced AI model beat humans only 39% of the time.

Some individual professions are even more at risk:

Sales managers were defeated 79% of the time.

Transportation and warehouse workers: 76%.

Editors: 75%.

Private detectives and investigators: 70%. /Express newspaper/

How fast is AI advancing?

Claude Opus 4.1 had high results thanks to attractive graphics, but accuracy was lower.

OpenAI's most advanced model, GPT5-high, had an average win rate of 48.8% and excelled in accuracy.

By comparison, GPT-4o, released just 15 months ago, had a win rate of 12.4%.

This shows how quickly the gap between AI and humans is narrowing, and the potential impact on all professions.

Some predictions from OpenAI leaders

Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, has previously said that AI could automate up to 40% of jobs in the future.

“I'm sure a lot of the customer service jobs that are done over the phone or computer will be lost, and AI will do them better,” Altman said.

However, the company emphasizes that the results do not indicate that people will immediately lose their jobs; AI can be a support for daily work.

The most endangered professions and the percentage of AI victories

Store employees and rents: 81%

Sales managers: 79%

Shipping, receiving and inventory workers: 76%

Editors: 75%

Software developer: 70%

Private investigators and detectives: 70%

Compliance officers: 69%

First-line supervisors for non-retail sales employees: 69%

Sales representatives, wholesalers and manufacturers, except technical and scientific products: 68%

General operating managers: 67%

Health and medical services managers: 65%

Buyers and purchasing agents: 64%

Personal financial advisors: 64%

Administrative services managers: 62%

Customer service representative: 59%

First-line supervisors for retail sales employees: 59%

First-line supervisors for production and operations employees: 58%

Nurse practitioners: 56%

Real estate brokers: 54%

News analysts, journalists and reporters: 53%

Computer and information systems managers: 52%

Front-line police and detective supervisors: 49%

Sales representatives, wholesale and manufacturing, technical and scientific products: 47%

Lawyer: 46%

Project management specialists: 42%

Social workers for children, families and schools: 42%

Medical secretaries and administrative assistants: 42%

Insurance, goods and financial services sales agents: 42%

First-line supervisors for office workers and administrative support: 41%

Financial investment analysts: 41%

Entertainment and recreation workers: 37%

Registered nurses: 37%

Property managers, real estate and community associations: 34%

Financial managers: 32%

Producers and directors: 31%

Audio and video technology: 30%

Doormen/receptionists: 29%

Order picker: 28%

Real estate sales agents: 27%

Pharmacists: 26%

Accountants and auditors: 24%

Mechanical engineers: 23%

Industrial engineers: 17%

Film and video editor: 17%